The traditionally Democratic-leaning “blue wall” of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which has played a crucial role in electing Democratic presidents over the last two decades, appears to be weakening, according to sources close to Kamala Harris’s campaign.

Jul 12, 2021; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Vice President Kamala Harris speaks with people during a vaccine mobilization event at the TCF Center in downtown Detroit on Monday, July 12, 2021. Mandatory Credit: Ryan Garza /Detroit Free Press-USA TODAY NETWORK

Concerns have emerged that these critical battleground states, which have been instrumental in past elections, could shift in favor of former President Donald Trump in the upcoming election.

Former president Donald Trump speaks to an audience during a town hall meeting at Dort Financial Center in Flint, Michigan on Tuesday, September 17, 2024.

According to a report from NBC News, senior campaign staffers within the Kamala camp have raised alarms about declining performance in Michigan, a key battleground state.

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Michigan narrowly voted for Trump in 2016 before flipping to Joe Biden in 2020.

However, Kamala’s vocal support for Israel and her condemnation of disruptions by pro-Palestinian activists have reportedly alienated Michigan’s Arab-American community, a critical voting bloc that has largely remained disengaged this election cycle.

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Additionally, campaign insiders have noted skepticism among younger voters, particularly in areas like Ann Arbor, which could impact turnout and make Michigan more competitive for Trump.

Internal discussions within the Kamala campaign have included contingency plans for a scenario where both Wisconsin and Michigan are won by Trump, while Pennsylvania remains in the Democratic column.

Despite winning Pennsylvania, losing both Wisconsin and Michigan would leave Harris short of the required 270 Electoral College votes needed to secure the presidency.

A senior Kamala official, speaking to NBC News, acknowledged the possibility that Michigan or Wisconsin could slip from the Democratic column. “There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” the official stated. Several other sources within the campaign also expressed particular concern over Michigan, a state that Democrats typically expect to win in presidential elections.

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Despite these concerns, the Kamala campaign has publicly downplayed any issues with Michigan’s polling numbers.

Campaign spokesperson Lauren Hitt emphasized that they are still competing strongly in Michigan and pointed to recent polls that show Kamala with a narrow lead. “We absolutely are competing to win Michigan,” Hitt said, referencing Kamala’s’s town hall event with former Congresswoman Liz Cheney.

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She also expressed confidence in Wisconsin, stating there were no signs of erosion in the state’s support for Kamala.

Beyond the “blue wall” states, Kamala campaign insiders are also watching North Carolina closely.

One anonymous campaign source noted, “Of all of the seven [battleground] states, that one seems to be a little bit slipping away.”

North Carolina has faced challenges recently, including the aftermath of Hurricane Helene and complications surrounding the campaign of Republican gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson.

Although both campaigns have faced difficulties, it is Trump who appears to be benefiting.

According to polling data from FiveThirtyEight, Trump holds a narrow 0.9% lead in the state.

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The decision by the North Carolina Supreme Court in September to allow Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. to remove his name from the ballot is seen as another boost for Trump’s campaign in the state.

Despite these concerns, the Kamala campaign insists that its strategy remains focused on a seven-state approach, which includes Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina, as well as Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia.

Despite the Kamala Campaign’s proclaimed seven swing state strategy, the betting odds currently on Polymarket haver losing all of them.

Dan Kanninen, Kamala’s battleground state director, told NBC News, “I don’t see a blue wall path or a Sun Belt path or a Southern path. I see seven states that are as close as it gets that will all be decided by margins on the ground.”

He emphasized that the campaign has built an operation designed to win tight races and that each of the seven battleground states has an equal chance of being the decisive tipping-point state in the election.

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As Election Day draws nearer, the Kamala campaign will be closely watching developments in these key states, with the potential shift in the “blue wall” being one of the most critical dynamics to watch in the upcoming presidential election.